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GUO

We rate the capacity of 204 countries to maintain Political and Social Stability.

We rate the capacity of 204 countries to maintain Political and Social Stability.

Subscribe and access the data from 2010 and projections for 2021 and 2022.

Who We Are

GUO is a stability rating agency formed by a group of professionals who work with the objective of measuring the level of political and social stability of countries.

We use our knowledge in public administration, governments, statistics and public opinion to provide a useful, technical, objective and transparent service to  investors and decision makers.

What We Do

We developed a model that, based on official public data, that allows to predict the level of political and social stability of 204 countries and 16 regions. By assigning a grade to each country that determines its level of stability we allow to quickly understand punctual and regional situations in a clear an easy-to-interpret language.

What is a political and social stability rating?

What is a political and social stability rating?

Political and social instability is related to the propensity of a government collapse, which can trigger unpredictable government’s actions and affect economical investments. 

We developed a model that measures the level of countries political and social stability. For this, we have identified key factors that can lead to social unrest, which can then translate to serious political instability.
Our model involves processing official data related to health, education, security, economy, environment and infrastructure. We analyze the evolution over time of selected indicators within these areas and develop a global index that summarizes the results by country.

The selected indicators are objective, representative, auditable and comparable among countries, allowing to draw trendlines and to make quick comparisons.

The data corresponding to each indicator are obtained from official database sources.

AAA
A country rated ‘AAA’ has the highest rating assigned by GUO. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is extremely strong.
AA
A country rated ‘AA’ differs from the highest-rated countries only to a small degree. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is very strong.
A
A country rated ‘A’ is somewhat more susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in political and social circumstances and conditions than countries in higher rated categories. However, the country’s ability to maintain political and social stability remains strong.
B
A country rated ‘B’ is more vulnerable than countries rated ‘A’, but the country has the capacity to maintain political and social stability. However, if adverse conditions are present stability can be affected.
C
A country rated ‘C’ is currently very unstable, any event can turn into a social and political crisis.
D
A country rated ‘D’ is experiencing political and social instabilities. The ‘D’ rating will also be used when presenting countries that fall under the failed state concept.

The rating scale

We use a language that users are familiar with so that our ratings can be easily to interpreted. We use a scale of six grades to determine the degree of political and social stability in each country.

The rating scale

The rating scale

We use a language that users are familiar with so that our ratings can be easily to interpreted. We use a scale of six grades to determine the degree of political and social stability in each country.

AAA
A country rated ‘AAA’ has the highest rating assigned by GUO. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is extremely strong.
AA
A country rated ‘AA’ differs from the highest-rated countries only to a small degree. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is very strong.
A
A country rated ‘A’ is somewhat more susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in political and social circumstances and conditions than countries in higher rated categories. However, the country’s ability to maintain political and social stability remains strong.
B
A country rated ‘B’ is more vulnerable than countries rated ‘A’, but the country has the capacity to maintain political and social stability. However, if adverse conditions are present stability can be affected.
C
A country rated ‘C’ is currently very unstable, any event can turn into a social and political crisis.
D
A country rated ‘D’ is experiencing political and social instabilities. The ‘D’ rating will also be used when presenting countries that fall under the failed state concept.
We provide reliable, transparent and verified information to those who must make decisions.
We provide reliable, transparent and verified information to those who must make decisions.

Why is it useful?

As societies become increasingly unpredictable, global investors and decision makers are faced with a vast and changing reality, often puzzling, when selecting investment opportunities in different countries. We provide an outlook on the levels of social and political stability of the countries that is essential to understand the state of affairs in each country and to provide certainty to ongoing and future investments

Our services

We provide the social and political stability rating of 204 countries and 16 regions since the year 2010, and the projections to one year ahead. We also offer a detailed analysis of every country and region for those who need accurate information to make specific decisions.

Why is it useful?

As societies become increasingly unpredictable, global investors and decision makers are faced with a vast and changing reality, often puzzling, when selecting investment opportunities in different countries. We provide an outlook on the levels of social and political stability of the countries that is essential to understand the state of affairs in each country and to provide certainty to ongoing and future investments

Our services

We provide the social and political stability rating of 204 countries and 16 regions since the year 2010, and the projections to one year ahead. We also offer a detailed analysis of every country and region for those who need accurate information to make specific decisions.

What makes the rating reliable?

We have identified parameters affecting people’s lives that when deteriorating lead to social unrest, which can then translate to serious political instability.

Having records since 2010 has allowed us to validate our model with existing data. Our model was able to detect occasions in which countries entered periods of strong political and social instability, and to which many reacted with surprise because no public opinion survey or professional analysis indicated the existence of this risk.

We also developed a predictive model specially designed for each of the indicators, which enables to project future scenarios for each country with great accuracy. The proposed models were corroborated by comparing our estimations with official data issued later, therefore ensuring reliability and certainty to our clients.

What makes the rating reliable?

We have identified parameters affecting people’s lives that when deteriorating lead to social unrest, which can then translate to serious political instability.

Having records since 2010 has allowed us to validate our model with existing data. Our model was able to detect occasions in which countries entered periods of strong political and social instability, and to which many reacted with surprise because no public opinion survey or professional analysis indicated the existence of this risk.

We also developed a predictive model specially designed for each of the indicators, which enables to project future scenarios for each country with great accuracy. The proposed models were corroborated by comparing our estimations with official data issued later, therefore ensuring reliability and certainty to our clients.

Rating - Regions - Countries

We have a detailed analysis for each of 204 countries and 16 regions in which the world is divided .

In RATING, you will find the ratings for the 204 countries and 16 regions in which we divide the world. Starting from the year 2010 and with the projections stipulated for 2021 and 2022. The rating table goes from AAA, which is the most stable country/region, to D, which is the least stable one.

Both in REGIONS and COUNTRIES you can access to a detailed report on the situation of each one. We offer the possibility of analyzing the situation by government period and analyzing the evolution of each indicator over time. Besides, we grant access to tables containing the hard data and to the world stability ranking, which allows making comparisons with the region within which each country is located or with the world.

Both in REGIONS and COUNTRIES you can access to a detailed report on the situation of each one. We offer the possibility of analyzing the situation by government period and analyzing the evolution of each indicator over time. Besides, we grant access to tables containing the hard data and to the world stability ranking, which allows making comparisons with the region within which each country is located or with the world.

At GUO we believe that it is important to provide certainty in such a dynamic and changing social and political reality. The Political and Social Stability ratings of countries and regions, based on rigorous and transparent methodologies, are key information for global decision makers.
Dir. Francisco Blanco
At GUO we believe that it is important to provide certainty in such a dynamic and changing social and political reality. The Political and Social Stability ratings of countries and regions, based on rigorous and transparent methodologies, are key information for global decision makers.
Dir. Francisco Blanco