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GUO

Methodology

The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability
Category
Percentage
Definition
AAA
100/80
A country rated ‘AAA’ has the highest rating assigned by GUO. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is extremely strong.
AA
80/40
A country rated ‘AA’ differs from the highest-rated countries only to a small degree. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is very strong.
A
40/0
A country rated ‘A’ is somewhat more susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in political and social circumstances and conditions than countries in higher rated categories. However, the country’s ability to maintain political and social stability remains strong.
B
0/-40
A country rated ‘B’ is more vulnerable than countries rated ‘A’, but the country has the capacity to maintain political and social stability. However, if adverse conditions are present stability can be affected.
C
-40/-80
A country rated ‘C’ is currently very unstable, any event can turn into a social and political crisis.
D
-80
A country rated ‘D’ is experiencing political and social instabilities. The ‘D’ rating will also be used when presenting countries that fall under the failed state concept.

The calculation is made by subtracting the percentage of indicators that improved from the percentage of indicators that worsened and the percentage of data that is not available. 

The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability
Category
Percentage
Definition
AAA
100/80
AA
80/40
A country rated ‘AA’ differs from the highest-rated countries only to a small degree. The country´s capacity to maintain political and social stability is very strong.
A
40/0
A country rated ‘A’ is somewhat more susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in political and social circumstances and conditions than countries in higher rated categories. However, the country’s ability to maintain political and social stability remains strong.
B
0/-40
A country rated ‘B’ is more vulnerable than countries rated ‘A’, but the country has the capacity to maintain political and social stability. However, if adverse conditions are present stability can be affected.
C
-40/-80
A country rated ‘C’ is currently very unstable, any event can turn into a social and political crisis.
D
-80
A country rated ‘D’ is experiencing political and social instabilities. The ‘D’ rating will also be used when presenting countries that fall under the failed state concept.

The calculation is made by subtracting the percentage of indicators that improved from the percentage of indicators that worsened and the percentage of data that is not available. 

Region list
GOVERNMENT RATING

To carry out this analysis we collect the data corresponding to each indicator and group the results into 4 categories:

Positive: percentage of the total of indicators that improved compared to the previous year.

Same: percentage of the total of indicators that remained the same compared to the previous year.

Negative: percentage of the total of indicators that worsened compared to the previous year.

No data: percentage of indicators with “not available” results. For the result to be available, it is necessary to have the data from the current and the previous year to establish a methodologically consistent comparison. 

RANKING BY INDICATOR

In this analysis we compare the data of each country indicator with the rest of the countries, and then rank them from best to worst. This allows us to identify the countries that perform the best in regard to each indicator and knowing how each country is ranked in relation to the others. Countries that lack of data regarding a specific variable are automatically given the last location.

GLOBAL RANKING

We rank the countries according to the average of all the indicators considered. For this, we use the data on “Ranking by indicator”, and calculate the average of all the indicators to obtain a global value of management quality. The country on top of the global ranking is the one that achieved the best average.

INDICATOR ANALYZED

We focus on certain aspects that are under the administration of governments and which have a strong impact on people’s daily lives.

For this, we have identified key factors that can lead to social unrest, which can then translate to serious political instability. Our model involves the processing of official data related to health, education, security, economy, environment and infrastructure. We analyze the evolution over time of selected indicators within these areas and develop a global index that summarizes the results by country.

The indicators selected for each of these areas are objective, representative, auditable and continuous over time, ensuring that they measure the result in each area and that in turn all countries measure in the same way so that they can be compared to each other.

An important part of this work was based on identifying the data that evince representative and significant results at a global level. Most of the information generated daily by government administrations is for internal use and does not allow associating relevant performance results. Thereby, for example, in health area, a representative data is the age at which people die, which is defined as life expectancy. All the extra information about this topic such as: causes of death, socio-economic situation, cultural belonging, etc., is important for Government officials who must design public policies, not for us who seek to know the results obtained.

It is important to highlight that all the information has been obtained from open and freely accessible official sources

List of surveyed data
Health

The goal of health is for the population to live as many years as possible. For this reason we choose to take over these three indicators that specifically measure this:

Life expectancy at birth, total (years)

Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births)

All health data provided by the World Bank.

Education

Nowadays education is essential to improve life quality, so the lack of it results in a great limitation in a time marked by the advancement of information and technology. At this point it is important to know effectively how much do the students know,  the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) measures this through the Program for International Student Assemblies (PISA), a study that is carried out every three years. What interests us is the result about the students’ ability in the three branches of knowledge surveyed:

Reading

Math

Science

Security

Security means being able to live without fear, both of being killed and of being hurt. Being able to travel with the peace of mind that nobody nor nothing endangers physical integrity nor material goods.

Homicide rate Rate per 100,000 inhabitants. Data provided by: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

Serious assault Rate per 100,000 inhabitants. Data provided by: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

Road accidents deaths Rate per 1,000,000 inhabitants. Data provided by: OECD

Economy

Only indicators that measure people’s economy have been chosen. The rest of the data produced by the government in this section is important to understand the phenomenon globally, but does not reflect personal situations. For example, the gross product of a city can grow at the same time that unemployment increases or poverty increases.

Adjusted net national income per capita (current US $). Data provided by the World Bank.

Unemployment. Data provided by: OECD

Average Monthly Net Salary (After Taxes). Data provided by: NUMBEO

Environment

In this item all the existing indicators that measure the state of the environment in which we live were taken, in order to establish its evolution over time.

Natural capital: the lower its indicator is, the lower the environmental cost of grow. This variable is integrated by 6 sub indicators, which are:

Adjusted savings: particulate emission damage (% of GNI)

Adjusted savings: carbon dioxide damage (% of GNI)

Adjusted savings: energy depletion (% of GNI)

Adjusted savings: mineral depletion (% of GNI)

Adjusted savings: natural resources depletion (% of GNI)

Adjusted savings: net forest depletion (% of GNI)

All data is provided by the World Bank

Millon tonnes of carbon dioxide BP Statistical review of world energy data

Air quality measures the level of PM2.5, hence the  lower levels, indicates  the level of contamination. Data provided by IQ Air.

Infrastructure

Depending on the level of development of each country, the main challenge may vary, this may be  access to electricity, to internet, or, the production of renewable energy, both for its collaboration with the environment and for its sustainability and economic future.

Access to electricity (% of population). Data provided by the World Bank.

Individuals using the Internet (% of population). Data provided by the World Bank.

Renewable energy millon tonnes oil equivalent. Data provided by BP Statistical review of world energy.